Fox News ^ | April 19, 2011 | Chris Stirewalt, Digital Politics Editor
Posted on Wednesday, April 20, 2011 12:26:26 AM by 2ndDivisionVet
The broad presumption in Washington is that Donald Trump’s quasi candidacy will be a disaster for Republicans.
Part of this Trump talk is merely Democratic hope in the guise of analysis. It fits their narrative that the GOP field is so impossibly weak that even he can lead the pack. What could President Obama have to fear from such a bunch?
Another part of the conventional wisdom is the assumption that anything as weird as the Trump infatuation has to be bad for the party involved. If a politically minded celebrity – say Jon Stewart – had been competitive in early Democratic polls for 2008, it would not have been deemed a good sign for the party. What is unfamiliar is usually deemed bad by the political establishment.
But it is instead President Obama and the Democrats who have more to be concerned about in the spring fever for the boom-and-bust billionaire.
Certainly the reality host with the cantilevered coiffure could cost Republicans the presidency in 2012 if he is serious about running. If Trump goes all-in, develops a core following in the Republican primaries and then runs a well-funded spoiler campaign as an independent in the general election it could make the difference in a swing state or two.
The more likely scenario is one in which Trump does not invest a billion dollars in a third-party run and instead, having hyped the finale of his reality to show to high heaven, returns to the political sidelines.
Even if Trump decides to wade into the Republican nominating process, there is considerable doubt that he could muster a huge following.
As more on his past positions trickles out -- including a call for Canadian-style government health care....
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
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